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Showing posts with label Stock Market Investing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock Market Investing. Show all posts

Monday, 30 August 2021

Gold Shortage Coming

Both Ivanhoe (IVN) and Kirkland Lake Gold (KL) are smart bets in my opinion.

Why?

Because demand for gold is going up, and both of these stocks have a proven track record.

China is a growing economy and their thirst for gold jewelry is skyrocketing, but so is the demand for consumer electronics (which uses gold in the microchips).

The global demand for gold continues to grow. This is a supply and demand issue. There simply isn't enough gold to go around, but there are two Canadian companies which are plentiful with the stuff.

Nor are these the only gold mining companies I have invested in. There's about 20 different mining companies I have invested in, with many of them dealing with gold, silver, copper, rare earth metals, lithium, and basically anything that is useful for making either batteries or for electronics.

Because that is something else that people often forget. Our consumption of electronics goods continues to soar, globally, and those electronics need metals that are hard to find and mine.

Which means they end up being valuable and the mining companies extracting them from the earth are likewise profitable and worth investing in.

I am also invested in companies which deal in mining exploration, which means they are dealing with finding new places to mine such metals, and then sell their finds to the government or mining companies for a hefty profit. 

And like always, I only invest in those companies with a proven track record, and I am investing long term.



 

Energy Stocks

Algonquin Power (AQN) and Ballard Power (BLDP) are two energy stocks worth researching and investing in, in my opinion.

AQN has nice steady growth over the past 5 years, so definitely a strong contender.

You can see a blip from March 2020 for the start of the pandemic, but it had a very quick recovery.

This is a company which will continue to grow in my opinion, as they are expanding into renewable energy production and solar/turbine energy production is going to become a huge business during the next 30 years. Definitely a smart long term investment.

Nor are they limited by that. They are already a huge company that deals in both production, transmission and distribution of energy across Canada and the USA.

Ballard Power meanwhile is really banking on renewable energy. Hence the big spike in their stock price during the past year, followed by a calmer period.

BLDP as you can see has lots of room to grow, having gone from $2 per share 5 years ago and is now over $20.

I wouldn't be surprised if BLDP was worth $100 to $200 per share by the end of the decade.


Buying both of these stocks to me is a no-brainer. You buy both and you hedge your bets.

There are other energy stocks to consider, but I haven't seen any yet that are performing like these two.

Nor am I worried about BLDP's upward blip. That to me is a sign that this stock is ready to go even higher.

It will be interesting to come back a year from now or 5 years from now and see how well these stocks are doing.

I put my money where my mouth is. I bought both of these stocks, and I believe you should too while they're still affordable.



HAPPY INVESTING!

Wednesday, 28 July 2021

Stock Market Ebbs and Flows and Duds

 I have been paying attention to the stock market since I was a little kid. Always fascinated by it. I first started owning stocks when I was just a teenager. I still have those stocks. Lately I have been thinking I should sell those stocks, take the money and invest in something else that isn't a dud.

Duds are definitely an issue for the stock market.

If a particular stock is a dud you will notice that it doesn't really go up in value very quickly, and tends to fluctuate around the same point for a long time.

Or goes down in value over the long term, proving that the Dud is particularly bad.

A good example of a Dud stock is Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (COG). During a 5 year period this stock fluctuates up and down, ebbs and flows, but overall continues to go down in value.

Why would anyone invest in a company like COG?

Someone who is a day trader might be interested in such a company, banking on investing one day and selling the next day when it hopefully goes up in value.

Another hallmark of a dud is low trading volume.

Today COG has a volume of 1.35 million in traded shares, but it is noon already... and the average trading volume for this stock is 9.35 million.

Average Trading Volume is calculated over the last 20 or 30 days (varies by source).

What this shows you is that for a $6 billion company COG is on a downwards trend and the volume of trades is dropping.

If a company's trading volume gets too low it becomes difficult to actually sell your stocks, because you end up trying to sell it and nobody is buying.

Now it should be noted that if you look at COG's long term gains over 10 years or more it looks a lot better.

Compared to the value of the stock during the 1990s it is actually doing very well as a company, but if you look at just the last 10 years what you see is some ups and downs and the value of the stock has stagnated.

Observe...


And this is why you want to research stocks before you buy them.

COG would have been a smart buy in 2004 to 2006, when it was on the upwards trend, but anyone really smart should have sold their stocks in 2013 or 2014 when the stock price soared.

Everything after that has been on a downward trend.

The stock was actually worth more in July 2011 than it is in July 2021. Anyone who bought the stock then, and did not sell it in 2013-2015, is probably feeling really dumb now.

Yes, it is still a $6 billion company, but it used to be worth over $12 billion. Five years from now it will probably only be worth $4 billion or less.

So it isn't just a Dud, it is a bit of a loser.

It is paying dividends on its earnings, so that is one upside. A total of $0.30 per share during 2020. During which time it has gone from being worth $21 to $15 per share. So the dividend is to compensate you for the fact the company has lost $6 per share worth of value. Oooo! Peanuts.

In general I should point out that I don't like oil stocks. They're too dependent on oil prices going up, and they inevitably come back down, at which point the oil companies see their own values rise and drop constantly. That might seem like a great idea for someone who is a day trader, but for long term investors it is a bad situation to get into because a lot of oil companies fall into the Dud category.

And as you may have noticed, I am looking for Darling Stocks, not Duds.

Tuesday, 27 July 2021

What is a Darling Stock? Three Darling Stocks to consider buying

What I call a "Darling Stock" is essentially one that has a nice upward curve, measured over a 5 year or 10 year period.

Shown here I have picked out 3 stocks which I consider to be "Darling Stocks".

  1. Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd (KL)
  2. Park Lawn Corp (PLC)
  3. WELL Health Technologies Corp (WELL)

Each of these stocks exhibit the things that I am looking for in a stock that I find desirable. That nice upward curve in value.

I can forgive the occasional dip in value (eg. due to COVID pandemic) if the stock recovered quickly from the dip and is still on the upwards trend.

Let's start with Kirkland Lake Gold...

It is a gold mining operation, obviously, but what I like about gold mining is that it is pretty immune to recessions. Whenever there is a recession many people put their money into gold, which causes the price of gold to skyrocket. Thus even if there is a recession gold mining operations tend to be making a lot of money.

Nor is this the only gold mining company I have invested in. I have invested in other gold companies, as well as companies that deal in silver, copper, and the mining of precious minerals usually used for batteries.

I expect battery usage to increase dramatically during the next 25 years so a company like NEO Battery Materials Ltd (NBM) is also a sure bet in my opinion. Go look at the curvature on NBM stock and tell me you don't think it is worth putting at least some $$$ into.

One of the other factors I consider when buying stocks is the issue of potential. A company which mines materials for batteries is increasingly in high demand.

Likewise gold, which is traditionally thought of as being used for jewelry, is also used for making computer chips... And the world is rapidly expanding the number of computer chips it needs, but we only have a finite amount of gold available.

I also have a hunch that at some point we will start using silver (or electrum, which historically is a mix of silver and gold) for making computer chips because the price of gold will be so high that computer chips manufacturers will start considering using silver or electrum to solve their problems instead of pure gold.

Thus a gold mining company like Kirkland Lake Gold with a strong record of increasing in value is a solid investment in my opinion.

Park Lawn Corp is a company that deals with funerals and human remains. Every time someone dies, they need to buy a plot of land in a cemetery and they need to buy a casket. This is essentially a real estate company for the dead.

Babyboomers are currently in their 60s and 70s... And a lot of them are currently thinking about dying and buying up cemetery plots. Some of them will have their cemetery plots purchased after they died, or will delay until they know they are sick and dying.

While there is a blip in the value of PLC stock at the start of the pandemic, it becomes pretty clear that they recovered quickly and their profits continue to be solid as Babyboomers (and people in general) continue to die.

What I am banking on with PLC is the idea that lots of Babyboomers (and people in general) will be dying during the next 25 years, and every time someone buys a casket, arranges a funeral, buys a cemetery plot via PLC then the company is making money.

Now the value of their stock isn't rising as quickly as Kirkland Lake Gold (or the next example below), but it is still delivering with a solid increase in price over time.

I fully expect PLC to continue to rise in value, with stocks being worth at least $75 per share by 2030, and possibly as much as $150 per share by 2040.

Do I feel bad about making money off of people dying? Nope. Because someday it will be my turn to die and I want to enjoy my retirement knowing that I made smart investments when I was younger. What I am really making money off of is the cycle of life and death that happens to us all.

Speaking of life... Let's talk about healthcare.

Or in this case the electronic records of healthcare. Everything is being digitized these days and in recent years there has been a huge upsurge in governments and private clinics outsourcing their digital records to companies like WELL Health Technologies Corp (WELL).

This is another example of how I foresee the future going.

All medical records, dental records, eye exams, etc... They will all be digitized and various select companies will be in charge of those digital records and the cybersecurity surrounding them, as people will definitely want their records kept private.

What you will also note with WELL is that there was only a tiny blip during the pandemic and then the stock soared in value - likely because they were needed to track medical records of people who had COVID tests and also COVID vaccination records.

Even before the pandemic WELL had that nice upward curve, and thus made it a smart buy, but during the pandemic you will notice the price of the stock shot up like crazy.

When the pandemic is eventually over (assuming it ever ends...) my suspicion is that those medical records are going to be needed continuously as governments and people realize that they are now reliant upon the digitization of medical records. There is no going back to paper.

Plus digital records are greener than using paper records, so there's that benefit too.

In my opinion WELL will continue to grow in value. By 2030 I believe it will be worth $50+ per share and will be a massive corporation. Buying it for $7 per share will feel like peanuts compared to what it will be worth just 9 years from now, or 19 years from now.

Let's pretend you have $3000 to invest.

If I were you I would take $1000 and put it into all 3 of these stocks... Then just sit and wait. Don't sell for at least 9 years.

By 2030 I suspect that $3000 investment will be worth $12,000. At least that.

You could leave your money in a bank savings account and let it accumulate interest, but that interest would be peanuts when you look at the interest rates banks are paying you. Complete peanuts. Food prices are going up due to inflation faster than bank interest rates.

Monday, 26 July 2021

Hello Canada! Why aren't you investing in the stock market?

Hello Canada!

Why aren't you investing in the stock market?

Is it because you have no money and/or no knowledge of how the stock market works?

Or is it because the big banks (eg. TD Waterhouse) are charging $9.99 to do one trade, which is a ridiculous fee when you consider that the trade is being done by a computer and not an actual person?

Well, I have good news!

#1. You can skip the fees by signing up for a Wealthsimple account for free

And they only charge 0.5% as an account management fee for accounts under $99,999, or 0.4% for accounts valued at $100,000 or more. Which means that if your account is quite small the fee is actually ridiculously small.

Plus right now if you join Wealthsimple, and use this link, then you get TWO free stocks to trade 🤑 https://my.wealthsimple.com/app/public/trade-referral-signup?code=I30GVG *

* They don't give you the actual stocks, they give the cash equivalent of 2 free stocks after you deposit $100 into your trading account. The value of the stocks is random, but between $5 and $2500.

When I signed up I got a free Intel stock, which was valued at $69.10 CDN at the time, so for my $100 investment I already made $69.10. You do have to keep the funds in your account for a minimum amount of time in order to be able to cash out with it, but that is actually a silly idea because what you really want to do is invest it in a stock that will go up in value.

Furthermore, for each person who signs up using that link up above, I get 1 free stock too. So you can help support this blog by signing up too, and you get two free stocks, so this is a win-win situation for both you and me.

#2. You don't need to know anything about the stock market...

Because I am going to teach you!

Just subscribe to this blog, bookmark it, keep it on an open tab, and/or come back regularly for more stock tips.

Knowing nothing now isn't that big of a deal. What is important is that you LEARN how to invest in the stock market safely and get good returns on your money.

The Value of Shopify Stocks, 2016 to 2021
#3. Invest in Shopify

Why Shopify? I am going to show you why.

Shopify is a huge Canadian company which simplifies shopping for online stores. Shopping Simplified... = Shopify. How huge? It is a $250+ billion company. That's HUGE.

Every year people go shopping online for Christmas presents, and every year Shopify's stock goes up a lot during the Christmas holiday season - and the time period before and after Christmas.

So the lesson here is that if you want to invest in Shopify, you do it sometime in July, August or September... you wait for Christmas to come and go... and then you sell the stock sometime in January or February, when the stock will be worth roughly 40% more.

So if you invest $2000 now, by January or February the stock will be worth about $2800.

Or do what I do and just use the "Buy and Wait" approach.

The Buy and Wait approach is very simple. You're buying stocks that you think will go up in value over the long term. You buy them... and then you don't sell them for at least 5 years. Maybe 10 years. Maybe 20 or 25 years. You might never sell them. You might leave them to your children or grandchildren in your will.

Another thing I do is that I sometimes buy Fractional Shares.

This is the beauty of joining Wealthsimple. You don't need to pay $2000 to buy 1 stock of Shopify. Instead you can decide the amount you want to spend, as little as $1, and then buy a fraction of the stock. Not all brokerage companies allow you to buy Fractional Shares, but Wealthsimple currently allows people to do this with 14 specific stocks (10 American companies and 4 Canadian companies) which are pretty much guaranteed to go up in value.

The Canadian companies are:

  • Shopify (SHOP)
  • Royal Bank of Canada (RY)
  • Toronto Dominion Bank (TD)
  • Canadian National Railway Co. (CNR)

And the American companies are:

  • Amazon (AMZN)
  • Google (GOOGL)
  • Apple (AAPL)
  • Microsoft (MSFT)
  • Facebook (FB)
  • Netflix (NFLX)
  • Tesla (TSLA)
  • AirBnB (ABNB)
  • Coinbase (COIN)
  • Nvidia (NVDA)

 So for example, let's say you put $100 into your Wealthsimple account, Wealthsimple awards you with 2 shares - possibly worth about $25 each, and right away you have $150 in your account.

You take that $150 and you buy Fractional Shares of Shopify (SHOP)...

You wait until it goes up in value by 40% (to $210 CDN) and then you sell it and cash out.

Tada! You've made $110 and doubled your money in less than 6 months.

Or maybe you don't cash out. Maybe you wait 10 years and see what Shopify can do in the stock market. Which is my plan. I like the Buy and Wait approach.

I could sit on my stocks for decades and be quite happy to see my wealth grow. If I need to sell some stocks at some point because I want to buy a house (or a boat...) then that is my business. My choice.

#4. I only invest in what I call "Darling Stocks"

What are Darling Stocks?

Well, they're the stocks which have that nice upward curve to them. They're basically guaranteed to go up and keep going up. That is why I call them "Darling Stocks". They're very nice and I like them a lot.

They're keepers. You buy them, you keep them, and you make money off the dividends, and maybe you sell a few once in awhile because you need the money, but otherwise you sit on them and watch them multiply in value.

Want to learn more???

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